22.11.2008
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Focus in Ukraine, March 31 - April 6 2008

The Democratic Initiatives Foundation is closely following the political events in Ukraine in order to monitor the pre-election promises of the country’s most powerful political forces that won seats in parliament in the snap elections on September 30, 2007. The monitoring is being conducted within the framework of the “Where are politicians leading us?”

March 31

U.S. President George W. Bush traveled to Ukraine on a two-day official state visit.
According to the president’s planned itinerary, he was to hold talks with Ukraine’s President Viktor Yushchenko on the issue of Ukraine joining the Membership Action Plan (MAP) at the NATO summit in Bucharest, Romania. Bush was also scheduled to meet with the leader of Ukraine’s main opposition party Viktor Yanukovych.

April 1

U.S. President George W. Bush announced at a joint press conference with Ukrainian President Viktor Yushchenko that the U.S. supports Ukraine and Georgia joining the NATO Membership Action Plan.
Bush emphasized that he and his team has worked with all NATO member countries and convinced them that the membership of Ukraine and Georgia in NATO is first and foremost convenient for the members of the alliance.
In Bush’ opinion, Russia cannot influence the decisions of NATO member countries to allow these two countries to join MAP. The U.S. president further noted that the issue of deployment of the anti-missile defense system in Central Europe cannot be a topic of discussion with Russia in the context of Ukraine and Georgia joining MAP.

President Viktor Yushchenko announced at a joint press conference with U.S. President George W. Bush that Ukraine will get a positive signal in Bucharest on joining MAP.
Yushchenko believes there is no alternative to such collective safety and that even if the decision is negative Ukraine will continue to pursue this objective.
The Ukrainian president also informed that the percentage of proponents of NATO membership is increasing with every year (from 17% a few years back to 40% today).

U.S. President George W. Bush held talks with Premier Yulia Tymoshenko on cooperation between Ukraine and the U.S. with a focus on the gas issue. In particular, Tymoshenko told about the country’s plans of signing contracts with countries of Central Asia. The two sides also discussed the future possibilities of European integration and plans of creating a free trade zone between Ukraine and the U.S. This meeting was not planned in advance. The American president personally insisted on having a meeting with Tymoshenko.

VR Speaker Arseniy Yatsenyuk closed the session of the parliament. The parliamentarians failed to appoint deputies of the speaker. They are scheduled to reconvene on April 8, by which date they must put forth candidates for deputies to the speaker of parliament and revise bills concerning the WTO.

France does not support Ukraine and Georgia joining the NATO Membership Action Plan. The Reuters news agency informed that France’s Foreign Affairs Minister Francois Fillon stated this in an interview with France Inter radio. Fillon said that France does not want Ukraine or Georgia to join MAP seeing as Russia is against this. The French premier feels that ignoring Russia’s position could tip the balance of powers in Europe.

Viktor Yanukovych met with George Bush to discuss the issue of Ukraine’s Euro-Atlantic integration. The leader of the Party of Regions stressed that his political force support Ukraine’s Euro-integration. At the same time, Yanukovych warned that Ukraine there is no common opinion on this issue and that the results of public opinion polls show that the majority of its citizens are opposed to Ukraine’s membership in NATO. The leader of the country’s opposition party is convinced that Ukraine can only join NATO after a nationwide referendum on this issue is held.

In its aspirations to join NATO, Ukraine is breeching the Treaty on Friendship, Cooperation and Partnership with Russia. First Deputy Chair of the Russian State Duma Committee on CIS Affairs and Foreign Relations Konstantin Zatulin came forth with this statement. In his opinion, Ukraine’s aspirations to join NATO are a direct violation of the Treaty and do not conform to the spirit or words of this document. He reminded that the term of effect of this agreement expires on April 1, 2009 and can be automatically renewed for 10 years. However, he believes that the state of Ukrainian-Russian relations in recent years has become seriously complicated, which casts doubt on the possible extension of this document.

April 2

Today the NATO Summit got under way in Bucharest. The alliance plans to accept three new members – Albania, Croatia and Macedonia.
Ukraine and Georgia hope to join the Membership Action Plan. U.S. President George W. Bush confirmed at an early morning press conference that the U.S. supports the membership of Ukraine and Georgia in NATO. Just as before, France and Germany are against these countries joining the alliance.

German Chancellor Angela Merkel stated on the day before the NATO Summit in Bucharest that hurried decisions concerning Ukraine and Georgia could be detrimental to all participants of talks on this issue.
Merkel made it clear that NATO’s doors to Ukraine remain open. However, Ukraine must first come to an internal political consensus. In other words, the majority of the population must express its approval of the country joining NATO.

Russia did not recognize the Great Famine (Holodomor) in Ukraine as genocide. Deputies of the Russian State Duma called for not speculating on the topic of the famine in the 1930s and show respect for the memory of the 7 million victims regardless of nationality. As a reminder, Ukraine is calling out to the international community to recognize the Famine of 1932-33 as genocide against the Ukrainian nation. The governments of more than 10 countries have already officially recognized the famine as genocide against the Ukrainian nation. According to different estimates, between 7 and 10 million Ukrainians died in the famine of 1932-33.

April 3

NATO Secretary General Jaap de Hoop Scheffer informed at a press conference that the alliance postponed the official approval of its decision on accepting Ukraine and Georgia as members of the MAP until December 2008.

He underscored that the members of NATO agreed that Ukraine and Georgia will become members of the alliance. At the same time, the heads of state of NATO member countries approved the decision on the start of intensive political consultations with Ukraine and Georgia.

President Viktor Yushchenko assessed the results of the summit in Bucharest as “a victory by default”. The president made a statement to the press in which he pointed out that 26 countries gave a positive assessment of Ukraine’s statement about joining MAP and other states expressed their readiness to accept Ukraine into the alliance circumventing the MAP stage.

April 4

The resolution of the NATO Summit is the start of the process that will lead to the membership of Ukraine and Georgia in the future. NATO Secretary General Jaap de Hoop Scheffer is convinced of this.
Following the meeting of the Ukraine-NATO commission, Scheffer assured that Ukraine will sooner or later be accepted into NATO and all members of the alliance agreed.

For the first time Ukraine received a signal that it will become a member of NATO. Borys Tarasiuk, Chair of the National Movement of Ukraine and the Parliamentary Committee on Issues of European Integration, made such an announcement in Bucharest during the round table Ukraine’s Place in NATO organized by the Democratic Initiatives Foundation. In Tarasiuk’s opinion, today MAP for Ukraine is a roadmap the government must orient itself around in preparation for joining NATO.

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